The Farmer’s Almanac announced a winter forecast for the 2012-2013 season. Potentially good news for the Northeast and Atlantic seacoast regions. This outlook is for the continental US, for the Canada outlook, scroll below the post.
“After a year of unprecedented warmth – both during the winter and summer months – the great debate over whether or not Old Man Winter will return with a vengeance is on.
Update: See the new Farmers Almanac 2016 – 2017 Winter Weather Forecast here
Last winter was the fourth warmest for the contiguous 48 since record keeping began in 1895, with 24 states experiencing below-normal precipitation. In fact, California experienced its second driest winter ever. In only 10 states—chiefly across the nation's midsection— was winter precipitation above normal.
The situation became critical this past spring and summer with broiling hot temperatures across much of the country and the most severe drought conditions the nation has seen in more than 50 years.
For the coming season, we're predicting that winter will return to some – but not all – areas. We think it will be a "winter of contraries, as if Old Man Winter were cutting the country in half. The eastern half of the country will see plenty of cold and snow. The western half will experience relatively warm and dry condition. In other words, as in the political arena, the climate this winter will render us a nation divided.
We predict that real winter weather will return to areas from the Great Lakes into the Northeast. Most eastern states – as far south as the Gulf Coast – will see snowier than normal conditions and cooler temperatures.
We are ‘red flagging’ February 12–15 and March 20–23 for major coastal storms along the Atlantic seaboard; storms bringing strong winds and heavy precipitation.
But on the other side of the country, winter will continue its hiatus for another year. The forecast for west of the Continental Divide – the Pacific Northwest, desert Southwest, Pacific Coast – calls for mild temperatures and below-normal precipitation.
For much of the drought-stricken prairie region, an average amount of winter precipitation will bring long awaited relief.
Take a look at the map below to see what we're predicting for your region, and don't forget to pick up a copy of the 2013 Farmers' Almanac for a more detailed long range forecast:”
Winter Outlook for Canada:
“After a year of unprecedented warmth, the great debate over whether or not Old Man Winter will return with a vengeance is on.
Last winter much of Canada experienced yet another unseasonably warm season. Some locations in far northern Canada saw temperatures approaching an incredible 10° C above normal. This summer has also been a hot one with some areas experience less than normal rainfall.
Fortunately, the new 2013 Canadian Farmers' Almanac hits store shelves this month and promises on its cover to answer whether or not the warm, dry trend will continue, or if winter will stage a comeback.
According to this favored long-range weather publication, winter will return to some – but not all – areas.
It will be a "winter of contraries" shares editor Peter Geiger, Philom, adding, "It's like Old Man Winter is cutting the country in half. The eastern half of Canada will see plenty of cold and snow. The western half will experience relatively warm and dry conditions."
According to the Canadian Farmers' Almanac, areas from Alberta and Saskatchewan east into the Maritimes will see a colder than normal winter with many locations experiencing above normal precipitation. But for British Columbia – chiefly those areas west and south of the Rocky Mountains – the overall winter will be milder and drier than normal.
While some may question where these weather predictions come from, the Canadian Farmers' Almanac weather forecasts are based on an unbiased mathematical and astronomical formula that dates back to 1818.
‘We admit that last winter's forecasts weren't as dead-on as we would have liked, but as the old saying goes, ‘The Almanac maker predicts the weather, but another Maker makes the weather,'’ reflects Geiger, adding ‘Weather, no matter what tools or computer systems you use to predict it, is not an exact science. Many sources were thrown off last year, but we are confident in our formula and are happy to provide our readers with a long-range outlook that is very accurate.’
Fans of the Almanac say its famous long-range forecast is accurate between 80 and 85 percent of the time.”